arch.univariate.base.ARCHModelFixedResult

class arch.univariate.base.ARCHModelFixedResult(params: ndarray[tuple[int], dtype[float64]], resid: ndarray[tuple[int], dtype[float64]], volatility: ndarray[tuple[int], dtype[float64]], dep_var: Series, names: list[str], loglikelihood: float, is_pandas: bool, model: ARCHModel)[source]

Results for fixed parameters for an ARCHModel model.

Parameters:
params: ndarray[tuple[int], dtype[float64]]

Estimated parameters.

resid: ndarray[tuple[int], dtype[float64]]

Residuals from model. Residuals have same shape as original data and contain nan-values in locations not used in estimation.

volatility: ndarray[tuple[int], dtype[float64]]

Conditional volatility from model.

dep_var: Series

Dependent variable.

names: list[str]

Model parameter names.

loglikelihood: float

Loglikelihood at specified parameters.

is_pandas: bool

Whether the original input was pandas.

model: ARCHModel

The model object used to estimate the parameters.

Notes

The results are created by ARCHModel.fix. The arguments of the constructor are not validated.

Methods

arch_lm_test([lags, standardized])

Perform an ARCH LM test for conditional heteroskedasticity.

forecast([params, horizon, start, align, ...])

Construct forecasts from estimated model.

hedgehog_plot([params, horizon, step, ...])

Plot forecasts from estimated model.

hill_estimator([k])

Compute the Hill tail-index estimator of standardized residuals.

plot([annualize, scale])

Plot standardized residuals and conditional volatility.

summary()

Construct a summary of the results from a fit model.

var_ratio([level])

Compute the ratio of Gaussian VaR to model-distribution VaR.

Properties

aic

Akaike Information Criteria.

bic

Schwarz/Bayesian Information Criteria.

conditional_volatility

Estimated conditional volatility.

excess_kurtosis

Sample excess kurtosis of standardized residuals.

loglikelihood

Model loglikelihood.

model

Model instance used to produce the fit.

nobs

Number of data points used to estimate model.

num_params

Number of parameters in model.

params

Model parameters.

resid

Model residuals.

std_resid

Standardized residuals, the residuals divided by the conditional volatility.